Bombing of Omicron in Mumbai: drop in number of cases, positivity rate, early indication of flattening of the curve, expert says

The Brihanmumbai Municipal Corporation reported that the number of Covid-related deaths in the third wave which began on December 21 is 46.

After seeing an increase in cases for a few weeks now, Mumbai is apparently seeing a steady decline in cases indicating a flattening of the third wave of the pandemic. On Tuesday, the number of cases fell 14.66% from the day before. The sharp drop has occurred over the past four days, from 20,700 cases per day to 11,647.

The test positivity rate also dropped from 23% to 18% in 24 hours. As of January 10, official records indicated that 13,648 patients had been detected with Covid-19 out of 59,242 tests performed. The next day, the number of cases fell to 11,647, even with an increase in the number of cases.

Dr Shashank Joshi, a member of the Covid-19 State Task Force, claimed the third wave was finally ebbing in Mumbai. Based on the numbers, he said Mumbai may have already reached its peak, but nothing can be said for sure until the next two weeks. He also informed that the number of patients requiring intensive care, ventilator or oxygen assistance is much lower than in the second wave.

The Brihanmumbai Municipal Corporation reported that the number of Covid-related deaths in the third wave which began on December 21 is 46.

In the nation’s capital, however, cases and the positivity rate have yet to start dropping, with the rapid rise of the past two weeks appearing to have slowed, hinting that Delhi is nearing its peak. CM Kejriwal also assured that there would be no containment and that restrictions would be gradually lifted as cases diminish. Kejriwal said about 22,000 Covid patients admitted to hospital have recovered so far. He informed that there was a reduced number of hospitalizations and severity of illness as was the case in the second wave.

The cases fell on Monday (19,166 new cases) and regained 21,259 new cases on Tuesday). But the rapid rise in the positivity rate in Delhi has slowed. While positivity jumped 11% between Wednesday and Sunday by 11 percentage points, it increased by two percentage points between Sunday and Tuesday.

According to an assessment by Sutra, a mathematical model developed by scientists at IIT-Kanpur and IIT-Hyderabad, Delhi and Mumbai will see a peak in Covid-19 infections by the middle of this month .

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